Emergency · LIVE
POSSUM surgical audit
POSSUM
Sum Copeland 1991 Table 1 physiologic and Table 2 operative severity items, then return the published morbidity and mortality probabilities from the unrounded logits.
Markdown: /docs/possum.md · Canonical: https://magentlab.com/docs/possum
Not a medical device. Not a diagnosis, dose, or listing recommendation.
What it computes
Sum Copeland 1991 Table 1 physiologic and Table 2 operative severity items, then return the published morbidity and mortality probabilities from the unrounded logits.
When to use
When an agent needs the original POSSUM audit scores and logits and must not substitute P-POSSUM (Whiteley), invent risk classes, or issue operative consent.
When not to use
- Not a medical device. Not a diagnosis. Not an operative-consent tool. magent does not examine the patient.
- Copeland 1991 Tables 1-2 and the original morbidity and mortality logits only. This is not P-POSSUM (Whiteley).
- Age has no 8-point cell; ECG, multiple_procedures, and mode_of_surgery have no 2-point cell. magent does not cap the integer below the sum of published item maxima.
- Each band is caller-assigned. magent does not interpret an ECG tracing or classify an operative note.
- Estimated percents are population audit probabilities from the unrounded logits, not an individual outcome.
Formula
physiologic_score = sum of 12 Copeland 1991 Table 1 items (1/2/4/8; age has no 8, ECG has no 2); operative_score = sum of 6 Table 2 items (1/2/4/8; multiple_procedures and mode_of_surgery have no 2); ln[R/(1-R)] morbidity = -5.91 + 0.16*physiologic_score + 0.19*operative_score; ln[R/(1-R)] mortality = -7.04 + 0.13*physiologic_score + 0.16*operative_score; estimated_morbidity_percent and estimated_mortality_percent = 100 * exp(logit)/(1+exp(logit)) from the unrounded logit
Citation
- Authors
- Copeland GP, Jones D, Walters M
- Source
- Br J Surg. 1991;78(3):355-360
Worked example
All lowest Table 1 and Table 2 poles
Given:
age_years=50blood_loss_ml=50cardiac=no_failureecg=normalgcs=15hemoglobin_g_dl=14malignancy=nonemode_of_surgery=electivemultiple_procedures=oneoperative_severity=minorperitoneal_soiling=nonepotassium_mmol_l=4.0pulse=70respiratory=no_dyspneasodium_mmol_l=140systolic_bp_mm_hg=120urea_mmol_l=5wbc_k_ul=8
- Each of 12 Table 1 items is 1 (age 50, no_failure, no_dyspnea, SBP 120, pulse 70, GCS 15, Hb 14, WBC 8, urea 5, Na 140, K 4.0, ECG normal)
- Each of 6 Table 2 items is 1 (minor, one procedure, blood loss 50, soiling none, malignancy none, elective)
- physiologic_score = 12; operative_score = 6
- morbidity logit = -5.91 + 0.16×12 + 0.19×6 = -2.85
- mortality logit = -7.04 + 0.13×12 + 0.16×6 = -4.52
- percents = 100 × exp(logit)/(1+exp(logit)) from the unrounded logits
All Table 1 and Table 2 item maxima
Given:
age_years=80blood_loss_ml=1500cardiac=raised_jvp_or_cardiomegalyecg=other_abnormal_or_ectopics_or_q_st_tgcs=5hemoglobin_g_dl=8malignancy=distant_metastasesmode_of_surgery=immediate_lt_2hmultiple_procedures=more_than_twooperative_severity=major_plusperitoneal_soiling=free_bowel_pus_bloodpotassium_mmol_l=2.5pulse=30respiratory=rest_or_fibrosis_consolidationsodium_mmol_l=120systolic_bp_mm_hg=80urea_mmol_l=20wbc_k_ul=2
- Age ≥71 → 4; the other 11 Table 1 items are 8
- Each of 6 Table 2 items is 8
- physiologic_score = 92; operative_score = 48
- percents from the unrounded Copeland logits
Also searched as
- POSSUM
- Copeland POSSUM
- physiologic and operative severity score
- surgical audit score
- POSSUM morbidity mortality
- Copeland surgical score
- POSSUM physiologic score
Try
Opens the live endpoint. Unpaid browser requests show the paywall; agents should send Accept: application/json.
Full URL: https://api.magentlab.com/api/calc/possum?age_years=50&cardiac=no_failure&respiratory=no_dyspnea&systolic_bp_mm_hg=120&pulse=70&gcs=15&hemoglobin_g_dl=14&wbc_k_ul=8&urea_mmol_l=5&sodium_mmol_l=140&potassium_mmol_l=4.0&ecg=normal&operative_severity=minor&multiple_procedures=one&blood_loss_ml=50&peritoneal_soiling=none&malignancy=none&mode_of_surgery=elective
Call
Expect HTTP 402 until you retry with PAYMENT-SIGNATURE. Incomplete query params
return HTTP 400 before any quote or charge.
curl -i -H "Accept: application/json" "https://api.magentlab.com/api/calc/possum?age_years=50&cardiac=no_failure&respiratory=no_dyspnea&systolic_bp_mm_hg=120&pulse=70&gcs=15&hemoglobin_g_dl=14&wbc_k_ul=8&urea_mmol_l=5&sodium_mmol_l=140&potassium_mmol_l=4.0&ecg=normal&operative_severity=minor&multiple_procedures=one&blood_loss_ml=50&peritoneal_soiling=none&malignancy=none&mode_of_surgery=elective"
Parameters
| Name | Type | Required | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
age_years |
integer | required | Age in years, integer 16-120 (Copeland 1991 Table 1). ≤60 → 1; 61-70 → 2; ≥71 → 4. No 8-point cell. |
cardiac |
string | required · no_failure, diuretic_digoxin_antianginal_or_hypertensive, peripheral_edema_warfarin_or_borderline_cardiomegaly, raised_jvp_or_cardiomegaly | Copeland 1991 cardiac signs as assigned by the caller: no_failure (1); diuretic_digoxin_antianginal_or_hypertensive (2); peripheral_edema_warfarin_or_borderline_cardiomegaly (4); raised_jvp_or_cardiomegaly (8). magent does not examine the patient. |
respiratory |
string | required · no_dyspnea, exertional_or_mild_coad, limiting_or_moderate_coad, rest_or_fibrosis_consolidation | Copeland 1991 respiratory history as assigned by the caller: no_dyspnea (1); exertional_or_mild_coad (2); limiting_or_moderate_coad (4); rest_or_fibrosis_consolidation (8). magent does not examine the patient. |
systolic_bp_mm_hg |
number | required | Systolic blood pressure in mm Hg (20-300). 110-130 → 1; 100-109 or 131-170 → 2; 90-99 or ≥171 → 4; ≤89 → 8. magent does not measure blood pressure. |
pulse |
integer | required | Pulse in beats/min, integer 20-250. 50-80 → 1; 81-100 → 2; 40-49 or 101-120 → 4; ≤39 or ≥121 → 8. magent does not measure pulse. |
gcs |
integer | required | Glasgow Coma Scale total as assigned by the caller, integer 3-15. 15 → 1; 12-14 → 2; 9-11 → 4; ≤8 → 8. magent does not examine the patient. |
hemoglobin_g_dl |
number | required | Haemoglobin in g/dL (3-25). 13-16 → 1; 11.5-12.9 or 16.1-17.0 → 2; 10.0-11.4 or 17.1-18.0 → 4; ≤9.9 or ≥18.1 → 8. |
wbc_k_ul |
number | required | White cell count in ×10^9/L (0.1-100). 4.0-10.0 → 1; 10.1-20.0 or 3.1-3.9 → 2; ≥20.1 → 4; ≤3.0 → 8. Table 1 lists 3.1-4.0 on the 2-point cell; 4.0 is scored in the 1-point band. |
urea_mmol_l |
number | required | Serum urea in mmol/L (0.5-80). ≤7.5 → 1; 7.6-10.0 → 2; 10.1-15.0 → 4; ≥15.1 → 8. |
sodium_mmol_l |
number | required | Serum sodium in mmol/L (90-200). ≥136 → 1; 131-135 → 2; 126-130 → 4; ≤125 → 8. |
potassium_mmol_l |
number | required | Serum potassium in mmol/L (1-12). 3.5-5.0 → 1; 3.2-3.4 or 5.1-5.3 → 2; 2.9-3.1 or 5.4-5.9 → 4; ≤2.8 or ≥6.0 → 8. |
ecg |
string | required · normal, atrial_fibrillation_60_90, other_abnormal_or_ectopics_or_q_st_t | Copeland 1991 electrocardiogram as assigned by the caller: normal (1); atrial_fibrillation_60_90 (4); other_abnormal_or_ectopics_or_q_st_t (8). No 2-point cell. magent does not interpret a tracing. |
operative_severity |
string | required · minor, moderate, major, major_plus | Copeland 1991 Table 2 operative severity as assigned by the caller: minor (1); moderate (2); major (4); major_plus (8). magent does not classify an operative note. |
multiple_procedures |
string | required · one, two, more_than_two | Number of procedures as assigned by the caller: one (1); two (4); more_than_two (8). No 2-point cell. |
blood_loss_ml |
number | required | Total blood loss in mL (0-20000). ≤100 → 1; 101-500 → 2; 501-999 → 4; ≥1000 → 8. Table 2 writes <100 then 101-500; 100 mL is scored with the lowest band. |
peritoneal_soiling |
string | required · none, minor_serous, local_pus, free_bowel_pus_blood | Copeland 1991 peritoneal soiling as assigned by the caller: none (1); minor_serous (2); local_pus (4); free_bowel_pus_blood (8). magent does not examine the patient. |
malignancy |
string | required · none, primary_only, nodal_metastases, distant_metastases | Copeland 1991 presence of malignancy as assigned by the caller: none (1); primary_only (2); nodal_metastases (4); distant_metastases (8). magent does not diagnose. |
mode_of_surgery |
string | required · elective, emergency_resuscitation_gt_2h_or_lt_24h, immediate_lt_2h | Copeland 1991 mode of surgery as assigned by the caller: elective (1); emergency_resuscitation_gt_2h_or_lt_24h (4); immediate_lt_2h (8). No 2-point cell. |
Bulk (POST)
POST the same path with a JSON items array. The first item is the GET unit; each additional item is $0.002. Invalid items return HTTP 400 before settlement.
- 1 to 25 items. Each item uses the same keys as the GET query parameters.
- POST of 1 item costs the same as GET. Lists longer than 25: chunk into multiple POSTs. Extra items still execute; do not pad dummy rows.
- The first invalid item fails the whole request (index in the 400 JSON). You are not charged.
- HTTP 200 is {count, path, items}. Each items[i] is the GET 200 body for that row.
- Catalog misses (empty matches, found=false) stay paid 200s inside that slot.
- x402 resource URL is this path plus n and body_sha256. Browsers that prefer text/html get the same paywall as GET; Pay retries POST with the same items.
Example request (fixture)
{
"items": [
{
"age_years": "50",
"blood_loss_ml": "50",
"cardiac": "no_failure",
"ecg": "normal",
"gcs": "15",
"hemoglobin_g_dl": "14",
"malignancy": "none",
"mode_of_surgery": "elective",
"multiple_procedures": "one",
"operative_severity": "minor",
"peritoneal_soiling": "none",
"potassium_mmol_l": "4.0",
"pulse": "70",
"respiratory": "no_dyspnea",
"sodium_mmol_l": "140",
"systolic_bp_mm_hg": "120",
"urea_mmol_l": "5",
"wbc_k_ul": "8"
},
{
"age_years": "50",
"blood_loss_ml": "50",
"cardiac": "no_failure",
"ecg": "normal",
"gcs": "15",
"hemoglobin_g_dl": "14",
"malignancy": "none",
"mode_of_surgery": "elective",
"multiple_procedures": "one",
"operative_severity": "minor",
"peritoneal_soiling": "none",
"potassium_mmol_l": "4.0",
"pulse": "70",
"respiratory": "no_dyspnea",
"sodium_mmol_l": "140",
"systolic_bp_mm_hg": "120",
"urea_mmol_l": "5",
"wbc_k_ul": "8"
}
]
}
Opens a two-item fixture on the API host. Unpaid browsers get the same MetaMask paywall as GET; Pay retries POST with those items.
Example 200 (fixture)
{
"count": 2,
"path": "/api/calc/possum",
"items": [
{
"components": [
{
"value": 50,
"factor": "age_years",
"points": 1,
"present": true
},
{
"value": "no_failure",
"factor": "cardiac",
"points": 1,
"present": true
},
{
"value": "no_dyspnea",
"factor": "respiratory",
"points": 1,
"present": true
},
{
"value": 120.0,
"factor": "systolic_bp_mm_hg",
"points": 1,
"present": true
},
{
"value": 70,
"factor": "pulse",
"points": 1,
"present": true
},
{
"value": 15,
"factor": "gcs",
"points": 1,
"present": true
},
{
"value": 14.0,
"factor": "hemoglobin_g_dl",
"points": 1,
"present": true
},
{
"value": 8.0,
"factor": "wbc_k_ul",
"points": 1,
"present": true
},
{
"value": 5.0,
"factor": "urea_mmol_l",
"points": 1,
"present": true
},
{
"value": 140.0,
"factor": "sodium_mmol_l",
"points": 1,
"present": true
},
{
"value": 4.0,
"factor": "potassium_mmol_l",
"points": 1,
"present": true
},
{
"value": "normal",
"factor": "ecg",
"points": 1,
"present": true
},
{
"value": "minor",
"factor": "operative_severity",
"points": 1,
"present": true
},
{
"value": "one",
"factor": "multiple_procedures",
"points": 1,
"present": true
},
{
"value": 50.0,
"factor": "blood_loss_ml",
"points": 1,
"present": true
},
{
"value": "none",
"factor": "peritoneal_soiling",
"points": 1,
"present": true
},
{
"value": "none",
"factor": "malignancy",
"points": 1,
"present": true
},
{
"value": "elective",
"factor": "mode_of_surgery",
"points": 1,
"present": true
}
],
"disclaimer": "Not a medical device. Deterministic published-formula or published-code output for autonomous agents. A licensed clinician remains responsible for patient care and billing submissions.",
"citation": {
"authors": "Copeland GP, Jones D, Walters M",
"doi": "10.1002/bjs.1800780327",
"id": "copeland-1991",
"pmid": "2021856",
"source": "Br J Surg. 1991;78(3):355-360",
"title": "POSSUM: a scoring system for surgical audit"
},
"formula": "possum",
"formula_expression": "physiologic_score = sum of 12 Copeland 1991 Table 1 items (1/2/4/8; age has no 8, ECG has no 2); operative_score = sum of 6 Table 2 items (1/2/4/8; multiple_procedures and mode_of_surgery have no 2); ln[R/(1-R)] morbidity = -5.91 + 0.16*physiologic_score + 0.19*operative_score; ln[R/(1-R)] mortality = -7.04 + 0.13*physiologic_score + 0.16*operative_score; estimated_morbidity_percent and estimated_mortality_percent = 100 * exp(logit)/(1+exp(logit)) from the unrounded logit",
"estimated_morbidity_percent": 5.47,
"estimated_mortality_percent": 1.08,
"morbidity_logit": -2.85,
"mortality_logit": -4.52,
"operative_score": 6,
"physiologic_score": 12
},
{
"components": [
{
"value": 50,
"factor": "age_years",
"points": 1,
"present": true
},
{
"value": "no_failure",
"factor": "cardiac",
"points": 1,
"present": true
},
{
"value": "no_dyspnea",
"factor": "respiratory",
"points": 1,
"present": true
},
{
"value": 120.0,
"factor": "systolic_bp_mm_hg",
"points": 1,
"present": true
},
{
"value": 70,
"factor": "pulse",
"points": 1,
"present": true
},
{
"value": 15,
"factor": "gcs",
"points": 1,
"present": true
},
{
"value": 14.0,
"factor": "hemoglobin_g_dl",
"points": 1,
"present": true
},
{
"value": 8.0,
"factor": "wbc_k_ul",
"points": 1,
"present": true
},
{
"value": 5.0,
"factor": "urea_mmol_l",
"points": 1,
"present": true
},
{
"value": 140.0,
"factor": "sodium_mmol_l",
"points": 1,
"present": true
},
{
"value": 4.0,
"factor": "potassium_mmol_l",
"points": 1,
"present": true
},
{
"value": "normal",
"factor": "ecg",
"points": 1,
"present": true
},
{
"value": "minor",
"factor": "operative_severity",
"points": 1,
"present": true
},
{
"value": "one",
"factor": "multiple_procedures",
"points": 1,
"present": true
},
{
"value": 50.0,
"factor": "blood_loss_ml",
"points": 1,
"present": true
},
{
"value": "none",
"factor": "peritoneal_soiling",
"points": 1,
"present": true
},
{
"value": "none",
"factor": "malignancy",
"points": 1,
"present": true
},
{
"value": "elective",
"factor": "mode_of_surgery",
"points": 1,
"present": true
}
],
"disclaimer": "Not a medical device. Deterministic published-formula or published-code output for autonomous agents. A licensed clinician remains responsible for patient care and billing submissions.",
"citation": {
"authors": "Copeland GP, Jones D, Walters M",
"doi": "10.1002/bjs.1800780327",
"id": "copeland-1991",
"pmid": "2021856",
"source": "Br J Surg. 1991;78(3):355-360",
"title": "POSSUM: a scoring system for surgical audit"
},
"formula": "possum",
"formula_expression": "physiologic_score = sum of 12 Copeland 1991 Table 1 items (1/2/4/8; age has no 8, ECG has no 2); operative_score = sum of 6 Table 2 items (1/2/4/8; multiple_procedures and mode_of_surgery have no 2); ln[R/(1-R)] morbidity = -5.91 + 0.16*physiologic_score + 0.19*operative_score; ln[R/(1-R)] mortality = -7.04 + 0.13*physiologic_score + 0.16*operative_score; estimated_morbidity_percent and estimated_mortality_percent = 100 * exp(logit)/(1+exp(logit)) from the unrounded logit",
"estimated_morbidity_percent": 5.47,
"estimated_mortality_percent": 1.08,
"morbidity_logit": -2.85,
"mortality_logit": -4.52,
"operative_score": 6,
"physiologic_score": 12
}
]
}
Response
| Field | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
formula |
string | possum |
formula_expression |
string | Copeland 1991 Tables 1-2 and logits |
physiologic_score |
integer | Sum of 12 Table 1 items (min 12; item maxima sum to 92) |
operative_score |
integer | Sum of 6 Table 2 items (min 6; item maxima sum to 48) |
morbidity_logit |
number | Copeland 1991 morbidity logit, 2 decimal places |
mortality_logit |
number | Copeland 1991 mortality logit, 2 decimal places |
estimated_morbidity_percent |
number | 100 * exp(logit)/(1+exp(logit)) from the unrounded morbidity logit, 2 decimals. An audit probability, not a diagnosis. |
estimated_mortality_percent |
number | 100 * exp(logit)/(1+exp(logit)) from the unrounded mortality logit, 2 decimals. An audit probability, not operative consent. |
components |
array | Eighteen Table 1 and Table 2 rows |
citation |
object | Copeland 1991 citation |
disclaimer |
string | Not-a-device notice |
Example JSON
Machine form of the same example. Frozen fixture. Not a live lookup.
{
"components": [
{
"value": 50,
"factor": "age_years",
"points": 1,
"present": true
},
{
"value": "no_failure",
"factor": "cardiac",
"points": 1,
"present": true
},
{
"value": "no_dyspnea",
"factor": "respiratory",
"points": 1,
"present": true
},
{
"value": 120.0,
"factor": "systolic_bp_mm_hg",
"points": 1,
"present": true
},
{
"value": 70,
"factor": "pulse",
"points": 1,
"present": true
},
{
"value": 15,
"factor": "gcs",
"points": 1,
"present": true
},
{
"value": 14.0,
"factor": "hemoglobin_g_dl",
"points": 1,
"present": true
},
{
"value": 8.0,
"factor": "wbc_k_ul",
"points": 1,
"present": true
},
{
"value": 5.0,
"factor": "urea_mmol_l",
"points": 1,
"present": true
},
{
"value": 140.0,
"factor": "sodium_mmol_l",
"points": 1,
"present": true
},
{
"value": 4.0,
"factor": "potassium_mmol_l",
"points": 1,
"present": true
},
{
"value": "normal",
"factor": "ecg",
"points": 1,
"present": true
},
{
"value": "minor",
"factor": "operative_severity",
"points": 1,
"present": true
},
{
"value": "one",
"factor": "multiple_procedures",
"points": 1,
"present": true
},
{
"value": 50.0,
"factor": "blood_loss_ml",
"points": 1,
"present": true
},
{
"value": "none",
"factor": "peritoneal_soiling",
"points": 1,
"present": true
},
{
"value": "none",
"factor": "malignancy",
"points": 1,
"present": true
},
{
"value": "elective",
"factor": "mode_of_surgery",
"points": 1,
"present": true
}
],
"disclaimer": "Not a medical device. Deterministic published-formula or published-code output for autonomous agents. A licensed clinician remains responsible for patient care and billing submissions.",
"citation": {
"authors": "Copeland GP, Jones D, Walters M",
"doi": "10.1002/bjs.1800780327",
"id": "copeland-1991",
"pmid": "2021856",
"source": "Br J Surg. 1991;78(3):355-360",
"title": "POSSUM: a scoring system for surgical audit"
},
"formula": "possum",
"formula_expression": "physiologic_score = sum of 12 Copeland 1991 Table 1 items (1/2/4/8; age has no 8, ECG has no 2); operative_score = sum of 6 Table 2 items (1/2/4/8; multiple_procedures and mode_of_surgery have no 2); ln[R/(1-R)] morbidity = -5.91 + 0.16*physiologic_score + 0.19*operative_score; ln[R/(1-R)] mortality = -7.04 + 0.13*physiologic_score + 0.16*operative_score; estimated_morbidity_percent and estimated_mortality_percent = 100 * exp(logit)/(1+exp(logit)) from the unrounded logit",
"estimated_morbidity_percent": 5.47,
"estimated_mortality_percent": 1.08,
"morbidity_logit": -2.85,
"mortality_logit": -4.52,
"operative_score": 6,
"physiologic_score": 12
}
Client errors (HTTP 400)
Invalid params return 400 without charge. Shared HTTP 402 and 503 meanings: Payments.
| HTTP | Code | When |
|---|---|---|
| 400 | invalid_possum |
POSSUM needs Copeland 1991 physiologic and operative severity items in published ranges. Returned before settlement; you are not charged. |
| 400 | invalid_items |
POST body must be a JSON object with only an items array Returned before settlement; you are not charged. |
| 400 | invalid_item_count |
items must be an array of 1 to 25 objects Returned before settlement; you are not charged. |
| 400 | invalid_item |
each items entry must be a JSON object Returned before settlement; you are not charged. |
Related tools
- Surgical Apgar — Compute the Gawande 2007 intraoperative Surgical Apgar score from estimated blood loss, lowest mean arterial pressure, and lowest heart rate.
- APACHE II — Compute the Knaus 1985 APACHE II integer from 12 Acute Physiology Score items, age points, and chronic-health points.
Payment
Unpaid requests return HTTP 402 even if query parameters or POST items are missing or invalid, so CDP and agents can index the path. After a PAYMENT-SIGNATURE, invalid params return HTTP 400 JSON before settlement. magent does not charge. Fix the params, then request a new 402 quote for that complete URL. Catalog misses (empty matches, found=false) are valid paid 200s. Unpaid valid requests return HTTP 402 with a base64
PAYMENT-REQUIRED
header. HTTP 503 is not a new quote: retry the same PAYMENT-SIGNATURE. Full handshake
and shared payment errors: Payments.
Stdio MCP: /docs/mcp.
Guarantees
- HTTP 402 is unpaid, including a missing query. After PAYMENT-SIGNATURE, invalid parameters return HTTP 400 before settlement. You are not charged. HTTP 402 never includes the tool JSON.
- exact: settlement finishes before the tool (paymentFlow upfront). batch-settlement: verify/deposit before the tool; chargedCumulativeAmount commits after HTTP 2xx. Uncertain or failed settlement fails closed (HTTP 503). Retry the same PAYMENT-SIGNATURE.
- HTTP 402 is unpaid only. Do not sign a second authorization because of a 503.
- Execution is timeout-bounded and concurrency-capped.
- Calculator inputs are stored encrypted for allowlisted operators (Magent Console). They are not in public logs, SSH lookups, catalog, or rollups. Request logs store path without query.