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Winters' formula
Compute expected arterial PCO2 in metabolic acidosis from plasma bicarbonate using the Albert–Winters 1967 formula.
Markdown: /docs/winters.md · Canonical: https://magentlab.com/docs/winters
Not a medical device. Not a diagnosis, dose, or listing recommendation.
What it computes
Compute expected arterial PCO2 in metabolic acidosis from plasma bicarbonate using the Albert–Winters 1967 formula.
When to use
When an agent needs published Winters expected PCO2 and must not invent a metabolic acidosis compensation band.
When not to use
- Not a treatment target. Applies to metabolic acidosis compensation as published; the ±2 mm Hg band is the published Winters range.
- Does not compute metabolic alkalosis expected PCO2 formulas.
Formula
expected_pco2_mm_hg = 1.5 * bicarbonate_mmol_l + 8
Citation
- Title
- Quantitative displacement of acid-base equilibrium in metabolic acidosis
- Authors
- Albert MS, Dell RB, Winters RW
- Source
- Ann Intern Med. 1967;66(2):312-322
Worked example
HCO3 12 mmol/L
Given:
bicarbonate_mmol_l=12
- expected_pco2 = 1.5 × 12 + 8 = 26.0
- Winters range = 26.0 ± 2 → 24.0–28.0
Try
Opens the live endpoint. Unpaid browser requests show the paywall; agents should send Accept: application/json.
/api/calc/winters?bicarbonate_mmol_l=12
Full URL: https://api.magentlab.com/api/calc/winters?bicarbonate_mmol_l=12
x402 V2 curl
Expect HTTP 402 and a PAYMENT-REQUIRED
header until you retry with PAYMENT-SIGNATURE. Incomplete query params return HTTP
400 before any quote or charge. HTTP 503 after a signature: retry the same
PAYMENT-SIGNATURE
— that is not a new 402.
curl -i -H "Accept: application/json" "https://api.magentlab.com/api/calc/winters?bicarbonate_mmol_l=12"
Cursor mcp.json
Intended config for @magent/mcp. This is not npm @x402/fetch
(a payment fetch wrapper).
{
"mcpServers": {
"magent": {
"args": [
"-y",
"@magent/mcp"
],
"command": "npx",
"env": {
"X402_PRIVATE_KEY": "0xYOUR_SPENDING_KEY"
}
}
}
}
Parameters
| Name | Type | Required | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
bicarbonate_mmol_l |
number | required | Plasma bicarbonate in mmol/L (2-24). Metabolic acidosis range. |
paco2_mm_hg |
number | optional | Measured arterial PCO2 in mm Hg (8-80). When supplied, compensation is returned versus the Winters ±2 band. |
Bulk (POST)
POST the same path with a JSON items array. Price is n times the GET unit. Invalid items return HTTP 400 before settlement.
- 1 to 25 items. Each item uses the same keys as the GET query parameters.
- The first invalid item fails the whole request (index in the 400 JSON). You are not charged.
- HTTP 200 is {count, path, items}. Each items[i] is the GET 200 body for that row.
- Catalog misses (empty matches, found=false) stay paid 200s inside that slot.
- x402 resource URL is this path plus n and body_sha256. Browsers that prefer text/html get the same paywall as GET; Pay retries POST with the same items.
Example request (fixture)
{
"items": [
{
"bicarbonate_mmol_l": "12"
},
{
"bicarbonate_mmol_l": "12"
}
]
}
Opens a two-item fixture on the API host. Unpaid browsers get the same MetaMask paywall as GET; Pay retries POST with those items.
Example 200 (fixture)
{
"count": 2,
"path": "/api/calc/winters",
"items": [
{
"disclaimer": "Not a medical device. Deterministic published-formula or published-code output for autonomous agents. A licensed clinician remains responsible for patient care and billing submissions.",
"citation": {
"authors": "Albert MS, Dell RB, Winters RW",
"doi": "10.7326/0003-4819-66-2-312",
"id": "albert-winters-1967",
"source": "Ann Intern Med. 1967;66(2):312-322",
"title": "Quantitative displacement of acid-base equilibrium in metabolic acidosis"
},
"formula": "winters",
"formula_expression": "expected_pco2_mm_hg = 1.5 * bicarbonate_mmol_l + 8",
"bicarbonate_mmol_l": 12.0,
"expected_pco2_high_mm_hg": 28.0,
"expected_pco2_low_mm_hg": 24.0,
"expected_pco2_mm_hg": 26.0
},
{
"disclaimer": "Not a medical device. Deterministic published-formula or published-code output for autonomous agents. A licensed clinician remains responsible for patient care and billing submissions.",
"citation": {
"authors": "Albert MS, Dell RB, Winters RW",
"doi": "10.7326/0003-4819-66-2-312",
"id": "albert-winters-1967",
"source": "Ann Intern Med. 1967;66(2):312-322",
"title": "Quantitative displacement of acid-base equilibrium in metabolic acidosis"
},
"formula": "winters",
"formula_expression": "expected_pco2_mm_hg = 1.5 * bicarbonate_mmol_l + 8",
"bicarbonate_mmol_l": 12.0,
"expected_pco2_high_mm_hg": 28.0,
"expected_pco2_low_mm_hg": 24.0,
"expected_pco2_mm_hg": 26.0
}
]
}
Response
| Field | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
formula |
string | winters |
formula_expression |
string | Exact expression used |
bicarbonate_mmol_l |
number | Plasma bicarbonate used |
expected_pco2_mm_hg |
number | Winters expected PCO2 in mm Hg, 1 decimal |
expected_pco2_low_mm_hg |
number | Lower bound of expected ± 2 mm Hg, 1 decimal |
expected_pco2_high_mm_hg |
number | Upper bound of expected ± 2 mm Hg, 1 decimal |
paco2_mm_hg |
number | Measured arterial PCO2 when supplied. Omitted when paco2_mm_hg is not given. |
compensation |
string | appropriate, below_expected, or above_expected versus the Winters ±2 band. Omitted when paco2_mm_hg is not given. |
citation |
object | Albert, Dell, and Winters 1967 citation |
disclaimer |
string | Not-a-device notice |
Example JSON
Machine form of the same example. Frozen fixture. Not a live lookup.
{
"disclaimer": "Not a medical device. Deterministic published-formula or published-code output for autonomous agents. A licensed clinician remains responsible for patient care and billing submissions.",
"citation": {
"authors": "Albert MS, Dell RB, Winters RW",
"doi": "10.7326/0003-4819-66-2-312",
"id": "albert-winters-1967",
"source": "Ann Intern Med. 1967;66(2):312-322",
"title": "Quantitative displacement of acid-base equilibrium in metabolic acidosis"
},
"formula": "winters",
"formula_expression": "expected_pco2_mm_hg = 1.5 * bicarbonate_mmol_l + 8",
"bicarbonate_mmol_l": 12.0,
"expected_pco2_high_mm_hg": 28.0,
"expected_pco2_low_mm_hg": 24.0,
"expected_pco2_mm_hg": 26.0
}
Errors
| HTTP | Code | When |
|---|---|---|
| 400 | invalid_acidosis_bicarbonate |
bicarbonate_mmol_l must be a number from 2 to 24 (metabolic acidosis). Returned before settlement; you are not charged. |
| 400 | invalid_paco2 |
paco2_mm_hg must be a number from 8 to 80. Returned before settlement; you are not charged. |
| 400 | invalid_items |
POST body must be a JSON object with only an items array Returned before settlement; you are not charged. |
| 400 | invalid_item_count |
items must be an array of 1 to 25 objects Returned before settlement; you are not charged. |
| 400 | invalid_item |
each items entry must be a JSON object Returned before settlement; you are not charged. |
| 402 | payment_required |
Missing or invalid PAYMENT-SIGNATURE; decode the PAYMENT-REQUIRED header |
| 409 | payment_in_progress |
The same authorization nonce is already being settled; retry shortly |
| 429 | rate_limited |
Too many requests from this client |
| 503 | settlement_uncertain |
Settlement is unconfirmed; retry with the same PAYMENT-SIGNATURE |
| 503 | settle_failed |
Settlement failed; retry with the same PAYMENT-SIGNATURE shortly |
| 503 | facilitator_unavailable |
Payment facilitator unavailable |
| 503 | facilitator_misconfigured |
Payment facilitator is not configured |
| 503 | facilitator_unauthorized |
Payment facilitator rejected credentials |
| 503 | ledger_unavailable |
Payment ledger unavailable |
| 503 | payment_unavailable |
Payment processing unavailable |
Related tools
- Bicarbonate deficit — Estimate bicarbonate deficit from weight and measured plasma HCO3 using a 50 percent body-weight apparent space.
- Serum osmolality — Compute Worthley calculated serum osmolality from sodium, glucose, and BUN, plus an optional osmolar gap when a measured osm is supplied.
Also searched as
- Winters formula
- expected PCO2
- metabolic acidosis compensation
- Winters PCO2
- expected PaCO2
- HCO3 expected CO2
- Albert Winters formula
Payment
Required query parameters must be present and valid. Invalid params return HTTP 400 JSON before settlement. magent does not charge. Fix the params, then request a new 402 quote for that complete URL. Catalog misses (empty matches, found=false) are valid paid 200s. Unpaid valid requests return HTTP 402 with a base64
PAYMENT-REQUIRED
header. HTTP 503 is not a new quote: retry the same PAYMENT-SIGNATURE. Full handshake
and shared payment errors: Payments.
Guarantees
- Invalid query parameters return HTTP 400 before settlement. You are not charged.
- Settlement finishes before the tool executes (paymentFlow upfront). Uncertain or failed settlement fails closed (HTTP 503). Retry the same PAYMENT-SIGNATURE.
- HTTP 402 is unpaid only. Do not sign a second authorization because of a 503.
- Execution is timeout-bounded and concurrency-capped.
- Calculator inputs are stored encrypted for allowlisted operators (Magent Console). They are not in public logs, SSH lookups, catalog, or rollups. Request logs store path without query.